2021-22 College Bowl Games: Confidence football pool picks, top predictions, rankings from computer simulation

Sam Fried

Table of Contents Top college football bowl confidence predictionsHow to make college football bowl confidence picks  There will be 44 games that take place during the 2021-22 college football bowl schedule, which is set to begin on Friday. One of the ways to get involved is to join one of […]

There will be 44 games that take place during the 2021-22 college football bowl schedule, which is set to begin on Friday. One of the ways to get involved is to join one of the many college football bowl confidence pools, where straight-up picks are ranked based on confidence. There are only five double-digit favorites currently on the board, leading to tricky decisions throughout the bowl pick’em season. Two of those heavy favorites will be in action on Friday.

Toledo is a 10-point favorite at Caesars Sportsbook as it takes on MTSU in the Bahamas Bowl, while Coastal Carolina is a 10-point favorite against Northern Illinois in the Cure Bowl. Most players will be selecting the Rockets and Chanticleers, but where should you be placing them in your college football bowl confidence picks? And which other college football picks need to be high on your board? Before making any college football predictions for bowl season, be sure to see the bowl confidence pool picks from SportsLine’s proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters the 2021-22 college football bowl season on a 43-29 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now it has simulated each matchup on the 2021-22 college football bowl schedule 10,000 times and assigned a confidence rating to each game. You can only see all the college football bowl picks over at SportsLine

Top college football bowl confidence predictions

One of the top 2021-22 college football bowl confidence picks from the model: Wisconsin takes care of business against Arizona State in the Las Vegas Bowl on Dec. 30. The Badgers were one of the hottest teams in the Big Ten down the stretch of the regular season, winning seven of their final eight games. Their one loss came on the road against Minnesota, but they picked up wins over then-No. 25 Purdue and then-No. 9 Iowa. Wisconsin’s offense put up at least 20 points in all seven victories.

The Badgers also held six of their final eight opponents to 14 points or fewer. Arizona State had several poor offensive performances in November, including a 10-point output against Oregon State. SportsLine’s model thinks the Sun Devils will be in for another rough day in this game, as Wisconsin is winning in more than 70 percent of simulations. 

Another one of the bowl confidence predictions the model is high on: No. 6 Ohio State gets a comfortable win over No. 11 Utah in the 2022 Rose Bowl on Jan. 1 in Pasadena. The Buckeyes are clearly one of the most talented teams in the country, but slip-ups against Oregon early in the season and Michigan in their final game of the year left them on the outside looking in for the College Football Playoff.

And while we’ll have to keep close tabs on which players might choose to opt out for Ohio State, the strength of the program’s underclassmen ensures that the Buckeyes will have plenty of talent on the field. C.J. Stroud is only a redshirt freshman, so we know that he’ll be playing, and the Heisman Trophy finalist is coming off a season where he threw for 3,862 yards and 38 touchdowns with just five interceptions.

Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson’s futures are up in the air, but Jaxon Smith-Njigba won’t be eligible for the NFL until next season and Utah could have a tough time dealing with the sensational pair of second-year players. The model predicts that Stroud throws for nearly 300 yards and three touchdowns, and that’s a big reason why Ohio State wins in well over 70 percent of its simulations.

How to make college football bowl confidence picks 

The model has also made the call on who wins every other bowl game. There are four teams that win at least 75 percent of the time, so you need to go big on those matchups, as well as multiple underdogs that win outright. You can get all the model’s picks over at SportsLine

So who wins every college football bowl game? And which matchups should you assign the most confidence points to? Visit SportsLine to see the full college football bowl confidence picks, all from the model that is up almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football spread picks over the past five-plus season, and find out. 


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